100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses Prediction VCT Americas 2026 Stage 1

100 Thieves and Evil Geniuses meet on April 11, 2026, in the opening match of VCT Americas 2026 Stage 1 Week 1 Saturday session at the Riot Games Arena in Los Angeles. This is a Bo3 Group Omega series - 100 Thieves arrive with a 1-0 head-to-head lead while EG arrive with dgzin as their highest individual ACS output entering Stage 1.

EsportScanner provides free AI Valorant predictions for every VCT Americas 2026 Stage 1 match.

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100 Thieves: L W W L W - 3 wins from their last 5 matches.

100 Thieves arrive with 3 wins from their last 5 matches and a 1-0 head-to-head lead over Evil Geniuses in 2026. Cryocells averaged 259 ACS on Bind in his last game - a map-specific standout output that reflects his ceiling on the surfaces where his duelist style is most effective. Asuna, bang, Cryocells, vora, and Timotino enter Week 1 with the stronger recent form record of the 2 teams.

Evil Geniuses: L L W L L - 1 win from their last 5 matches.

Evil Geniuses arrive on a 2-match losing streak with just 1 win from their last 5. dgzin averaged 268 ACS on Bind in his last game - the highest individual ACS output of any player on either roster on that specific map surface. C0M, supamen, Okeanos, dgzin, and bao enter Week 1 needing an early Stage 1 result to establish Group Omega standings momentum before the round-robin develops its own pressure.

Head-to-head

100 Thieves lead Evil Geniuses 1-0 in 2026 meetings. Their most recent encounter in the Kickoff - 100T won 2-0 - gives them both the psychological edge and the data preparation advantage entering this Stage 1 rematch.

AI prediction

EsportScanner free AI Valorant predictions give 100 Thieves a 61% win probability. The projection is based on their 1-0 head-to-head lead, Cryocells's 259 ACS Bind ceiling, and stronger recent form - 3 wins from 5 compared to EG's 1 win from 5. dgzin's 268 ACS on Bind is the variable the AI identifies as the highest individual ceiling on either roster and most capable of taking a map from 100 Thieves.

What to watch

dgzin vs Cryocells on Bind - both players averaged their highest recent ACS outputs on Bind specifically. dgzin's 268 ACS edges Cryocells's 259 ACS on that surface - making Bind the map where EG's upset potential is highest. Whether Bind appears in the veto and which player reaches their ACS ceiling on that surface first will determine the momentum of the entire series.

EG's recovery from Kickoff - Evil Geniuses lost 0-2 to 100 Thieves in their Kickoff encounter. A Stage 1 Week 1 rematch against the same opponent - with Masters London qualification motivating every result - gives EG the immediate opportunity to reverse that result. How EG's preparation for this specific rematch translates into Map 1 tactical execution is the primary indicator of their Stage 1 ceiling.

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