Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming Prediction LEC Spring Split 2026

Movistar KOI and SK Gaming meet on April 11, 2026, in Week 3 of the LEC Spring Split 2026 regular season at the Riot Games Arena in Berlin, Germany. This is a Bo3 series between 2 teams in the middle of the standings - both arrive with identical recent form and a competitive head-to-head record.

EsportScanner provides free AI esports predictions for every LEC Spring Split 2026 match.

Recent form

Movistar KOI: L W L L L - 1 win from their last 5 matches.

Movistar KOI arrive with just 1 win from their last 5 matches despite a 50% Bo3 win rate in the Spring Split. Myrwn, Elyoya, Jojopyun, Alvaro, and Supa enter Week 3 with their dominant 3rd place LEC Versus finish as the baseline of their collective quality. Jojopyun's flexibility in the mid lane gives them tactical options that SK's LIDER cannot replicate - but their recent losing streak entering Week 3 reflects a team whose consistency has dropped below their ceiling level.

SK Gaming: L W L L L - 1 win from their last 5 matches.

SK Gaming arrive with matching recent form - 1 win from their last 5 matches - and the lowest first blood percentage in the LEC Spring Split. Wunder, Skeanz, LIDER, Jopa, and Mikyx enter Week 3 with their Week 2 sweep of Shifters as their only positive recent result. Their inability to generate early first blood across the league is the structural stat that most clearly reflects their broader early-game system issues entering this series.

Head-to-head

Movistar KOI lead SK Gaming 1-0 in 2026 meetings. Their most recent encounter gave KOI the head-to-head data advantage entering this Week 3 series.

AI prediction

EsportScanner free AI esports predictions give Movistar KOI a 63% win probability. The projection is based on their 1-0 head-to-head lead, Jojopyun's mid-lane flexibility advantage over LIDER's unorthodox champion pool, and KOI's established bot lane synergy under Elyoya's facilitation. SK's lowest first blood percentage in the league is the primary structural signal driving the probability gap.

What to watch

Jojopyun vs LIDER - the mid-lane flexibility gap - Jojopyun's champion pool flexibility allows Movistar KOI to adapt their draft across the Fearless Draft system's Bo3 format. LIDER's notoriously unorthodox and assassin-heavy champion pool creates individual high-ceiling moments but limits SK's tactical flexibility across multiple games. Whether Jojopyun can deny LIDER his preferred assassin picks across all 3 games of the Fearless Draft is the tactical question that determines this series.

SK's first blood drought - SK Gaming's lowest first blood percentage in the LEC Spring Split reflects a team that consistently concedes early kills - allowing opponents to establish economy advantages before the mid-game macro contest begins. Movistar KOI under Elyoya's jungle pathing are specifically designed to exploit early-game first contact opportunities. Whether SK can generate their first blood percentage above the league average in Game 1 is the individual statistical signal most predictive of their ability to take the series.

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